[ Kevin D. Hoover (2001), Causality in macroeconomics (Cambridge University Press), pp. 227-249. ]
Kevin D. Hoover and Steven M. Sheffrin (1992), “Causation, Spending, and Taxes: Sand in the Sandbox or Tax Collector for the Welfare State?”, The American Economic Review, 82(1): 225-248. ]
9.1 Models and Causal Orderings
9.1.1 A Model of Expenditure Smoothing
9.1.2 A Double-Sided Cost-Benefit Model
9.1.3 A Constant-Share Model
9.2 A Chronology of the Tax and Spending Processes
9.3 Evidence
9.3.1 The Data
9.3.2 Characterization of Distributions
9.3.3 Observational Equivalence in Practice
9.3.4 Out-of-Sample Projections
9.4 Interpretation
9.5 Conclusion
Appendix. Data: Sources and Definitions
9.1 Models and Causal Orderings
9.1.1 A Model of Expenditure Smoothing
9.1.2 A Double-Sided Cost-Benefit Model
9.1.3 A Constant-Share Model
9.2 A Chronology of the Tax and Spending Processes
9.3 Evidence
9.3.1 The Data
9.3.2 Characterization of Distributions
9.3.3 Observational Equivalence in Practice
9.3.4 Out-of-Sample Projections
9.4 Interpretation
9.5 Conclusion
Appendix. Data: Sources and Definitions
(2021.12.12.)
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